Tag Archives: Development

New Mongolian Plan on Overcoming Economic Difficulties

The Mongolian economy has faced challenges in recent years, including decline of foreign investment and slow down in the economy. The current government of Mongolia has stated that restoration of the reputation of Mongolia is the top priority. The cabinet has established a new council responsible for communicating with investors in hopes of attracting more foreign investment.

 The Minister of Finance has recently presented a draft of a new Program on Overcoming Economic Difficulties and Stabilization. The Program includes over 60 policy proposals designed to stabilize the Mongolian economy, assist with economic restructuring, and securing sustainable growth.

 The plan aims to achieve 3% economic growth in 2017. This is be accomplished by coordinating monetary and budget polices, and attempts to increase foreign exchange. Growth of 5.1% is targeted in 2018 and 7.1% in 2019. Better infrastructure, transportation and non-extractive exports are expected to contribute to growth.

 The plan lays out growth of 20,000 jobs each year between 2017-2019 and aims for 8% percent unemployment by the end of 2019. The processing industry is expected to grow by 6.3% by 2019.

 The Program estimates that exports from Mongolia will amount to USD 5.4 billion in 2019, and imports will amount to USD 5.5 billion. Increased construction activity is expected to contribute.

 The Program aims to increase annual FDI investment to USD 2.0-3.0 billion. Overall the Program is a positive indicator for prospective economic growth in Mongolia. Conditions for foreign investment are expected to improve. LehmanLaw Mongolia will be watching closely and are ready to assist any foreign company considering a new investment in Mongolia.

55 Years of Cooperation with the United Nations

Mongolia became the 101st member of the United Nations on October 27, 1961. Thursday, October 27 marks the 55th anniversary. A ceremony was held October 1st at the Mongolia Ministry of Foreign Affairs in celebration of Mongolia’s long participation in the global body.

The Mongolian Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs, and the UN Resident Representative both spoke at the event, discussing the contributions Mongolia has made to the United Nations, and the benefits Mongolia has received in return. Both look forward to a strong future for Mongolia and increased participation of the country in the international community.

The Ceremony comes a month after The President of Mongolia, Tsakhiagiin Elbegdorj presented a speech on principles of sustainable development to the 71st Session of the UN General Assembly. Mr. Elbegdorj’s speech discussed the rapid economic changes in Mongolia, and emphasized the principles of accountability, democracy, human rights, and international cooperation as vital to ensure the path of global sustainable development.

China’s Smart Oil Investment In Dornogovi

The Mineral Resources Authority of Mongolia (MRAM) and Smart Oil Investment of China signed a production sharing agreement for an oil exploration site on Oct 14, 2016.

Smart Oil Investment of China was selected for the tender for oil exploration at Ergel 12. The company obtained an 8 year exploration license. During that time, Smart Oil Investment plans to conduct gravity and magnetic exploration, 2D and 3D seismic surveys, and drill eight exploration and evaluation holes for the sum of 35.5 million USD. The company will spend one million USD for land reclamation.

Signing an agreement with a company that has resolved investment issues and ready exploration plans in a time when the nation’s foreign investment and exploration have slowed down is vital in intensifying oil exploration in Mongolia. The production sharing agreement for oil exploration is a big step towards attracting more foreign investors to the nation’s oil sector.

In accordance with the production sharing agreement, Smart Oil Investment will give 40 percent of oil explored to the government of Mongolia. The MRAM noted that Mongolia’s stake may increase to 70 percent if the company’s oil exploration is higher than 15,000 barrels per day.

The World Bank Warns Mongolia on Debt

The World Bank projects that the Mongolian budget deficit will reach over 18 percent of national GDP by the end of this year. If current trends continue government debt financial obligations will reach 90 percent of GDP.

 The report welcomed the swift measures announced by the new government to address the growing fiscal risks, and called for strong fiscal and monetary policy adjustment to address increasing fiscal and balance of payments risks.

 The World Bank noted that the central bank has provided significant liquidity to the government, and warns that continued financing of the government could worsen macroeconomic vulnerability.

 The World Bank also cautioned that falling mineral exports would add challenges the balance of payments in 2017, but indicated that with proper fiscal and macroeconomic management such problems could be overcome.

Mongolia Moves to Protect Foreign Investors

A regular session of the Mongolian Government was held on August 03, 2016. During the session, the number of departments under the Secretariat of the Government has been confirmed, and the number of personnel to be employed by the government approved.

One interesting development from the session is the newly established Investor Protection Committee. The Committee is intended to play a role in facilitating resolution of disputes involving foreign investors and foreign invested projects in Mongolia. Mongolia has seen numbers of arbitrations involving foreign investors increasing in recent years. The World Bank estimates that the average such case lasts 3 and a half years and costs around 3 million USD.

The Committee will work to protect investors’ rights and interests, promote cooperation within the legal framework of Mongolia, minimize foreseeable risks and facilitate settlement of disputes swiftly, in hopes of avoiding unnecessary costs.

This is another positive step for Mongolia and for potential foreign investors in industry and infrastructure projects in the country. If the committee works as planned it could significantly reduce costs and mitigate risks for foreign investors in major projects in the country.

Free Trade Ties Between Mongolia and China Growing

In May this year, China’s Minister of Commerce Gao Hucheng led an economic and trade delegation from the PRC in a visit to Mongolia. The delegation met with Mongolian Prime Minister Saikhanbileg to discuss facilitation of trade between Mongolia and China. During the meeting of the China-Mongolia Economic and Trade Joint Committee, the two sides reached broad consensus as to several areas of cooperation.

At the meeting, Minister Gao indicated that China would like to actively promote cooperation, accelerate the establishment of a China-Mongolia-Russia economic corridor, and promote the construction of free trade zone with cross-border economic cooperation zones, and generally promote the sustained and healthy development of bilateral economic and trade relations.

The Mongolian side noted that Mongolia attaches great importance to relations with China, and regards China as a good neighbor, good friend and reliable partner. Mongolia will strengthen cooperation with China is several areas, including to accelerate the establishment of a free trade zone, and promoting cooperation in the development of mineral resources, energy and animal husbandry. Mongolia and China will work to facilitate trade.

The parties expect the construction of a Free trade zone between Zamiin Uud and Ereen hot (aka Erlian) to be completed by the end of this year, 2016. The Free trade zone will cover almost 18 sq.m on Mongolian and Chinese border. About 50 business entities from China and Mongolia will operate in the zone. According to the bilateral agreement on establishing cross-border economic cooperation zone, Mongolian and Chinese export and import taxes will be zero within the zone.

Mongolia and Japan Enter Economic Partnership

On 8th of May 2016, Governments of Mongolia and Japan exchanged a diplomatic note verbale on implementation of the Mongolia-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA). Accordingly, the agreement entered into force starting from 7th of June 2016.

The agreement seeks to increase trade of goods and services, encourage investment and people-to-people relations between the two countries. It is also an important part of Mongolia’s efforts at strengthening its own regional economic integration. The agreement enables Mongolia to attract investment and adopt know-how from Japan, export its goods and services to Japan and to third markets and to further link itself with regional economies and production chains.

The agreement covers liberalization of 5700 tariff lines from Mongolian side and 9300 tariff lines from Japanese, enabling Mongolian businessmen to supply goods originating from Mongolia to Japanese market ate preferential tariff rates.

The annual monetary circulation in trade between Mongolia and Japan is generally between USD 300 million to USD 500 million, which is equal to 3-4 percent of the entire international trade of Mongolia. The parties expect this number to grow due to the positive effects of the new EPA agreement.

Contracts with Provincial Governors Promote Accountability

In an interesting development, the Prime Minister of Mongolia has signed contracts with local governors, and the mayor of Ulaanbaatar, in a move which seems designed to promote accountability and strengthen rule of law in Government.

The contracts set forth the responsibilities of the local governors, and obligations to adhere to the Constitution of Mongolia, and to follow other applicable laws. Additionally, the contracts state clearly that governors are required to fully implement the governmental action program to the benefit of their respective province.

The contracts further provide that local government must be staffed with educated and appropriately skilled personnel, with relevant specializations and expertise. Under the contracts governors are responsible to ensure that provinces maintain and implement budget saving policies and make public services available to more people. Governors will be responsible for enforcing budgeting and discipline, and for enforcing anti-corruption laws.

 Governors will be responsible for ensuring that their respective provinces benefit from economic growth, and to ensure equal and well distributed development in areas such as education, culture and general health with a goal to minimize poverty and unemployment.

 Under the contract, provincial governors will be subject to punishment for failure to meet the responsibilities as outlined. Governors will be required to submit progress on contractual responsibilities in an annual report to the cabinet.

The take away here is the government’s effort to implement as system of accountability. We are hopeful that the clear guidelines and expectations of the contract will work to increase local government effectiveness. Penalties which the local governors may be subject to for failure to meet expectations are not clear, but the important thing is that each of these governors now knows their performance is being watched. Clear expectations and a little oversight will hopefully go a long way to improve provincial governance.

Accountability and dependability are key factors foreign companies look for when considering a major investment. This applies nationally and at local levels. If provincial governors are able to deliver good results in meeting their responsibilities under the new contracts, foreign investors’ confidence to do business in Mongolia will be greatly improved.

Mongolia’s Economy is Global: Trades with 136 countries

The National Statistics Office of Mongolia has recently released a report detailing Mongolia’s vital trade statistics. The report indicates that Mongolia has traded, either exported to or imported from, 136 separate countries over the first seven months of 2016. The total turnover from trade during this period is over 4 billion USD.

Exports are said to comprise USD 2.54 billion during the period while imports are at 1.83 billion. The total turnover from trade appears to have decreased by 12% (USD 647.4 million), compared to the same period last year. That amounts to a 17% (376.2 million) reduction in imports and 9.6% (271.2 million) reduction in exports.

Overall, the balance of trade surplus at this point in 2016 stands at USD 709 million, and increase of USD 105 million over 2015.

We are looking for the trend in decreased overall trade to be reversed as Oyu Tolgoi’s underground gold and copper mining operation ramps up.

New Parliament Approves Government

The election of Parliament was held on June 29, 2016, and 76 members of Parliament took the oath of office on July 05. One of the Parliament’s first acts was to approve the law on the Structure of the Government, which occurred July 21, and became effective immediately. The law does not present a drastic change in the structure of Government or the Ministries. The government now includes 13 ministries with 16 Ministers.

The List of Government ministries is as follows:

  1. Ministry of Environment and Tourism
  2. Ministry of Defense
  3. Ministry of Foreign Affairs
  4. Ministry of Finance
  5. Ministry of Justice and Domestic Affairs
  6. Ministry of Labor and Social Welfare
  7. Ministry of Construction and Urban Development
  8. Ministry of Education, Culture, Science and Sports
  9. Ministry of Road and Development of Transport
  10. Ministry of Mining and Heavy industries
  11. Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Light industry
  12. Ministry of Energy
  13. Ministry of Health

The basic continuity of the government is a positive sign. If there had been major changes, a period of uncertainty would have followed while the new ministries are established, and personnel are appointed, while other ministries may have been shut down entirely. The fact that this has not been the case contributes to a trend of stability which can only be beneficial for foreign investments in the country.